Insider Trading Investigation Dashboard

Political Donation & Insider Trade Correlation Analysis

Generated: July 27, 2026 | Sources: SEC EDGAR Form 4, FEC OpenFEC API, Capitol Trades Data: Jun 15, 2024 → Jul 23, 2026

Overview All Suspects Crypto & Digital STOCK Act Donors Timeline Cases Liquidations Stories Iran War Intel Kalshi Markets Published in VELOCITY Open Investigations Influence Orbit Detention Inc. Venezuela Oil About

KALSHI

Kalshi Prediction Market Monitor

CFTC-regulated event contracts. Tracking Trump policy, crypto, gas prices, and TrumpSay markets for pre-event volume spikes. Live trade data via external-api.kalshi.com (public feed). RSA-authenticated account: tvpro.

SPIKES DETECTED5 markets with pre-event volume spikes

Market	Event Date	Event	Spike	Trades
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?	2026-06-12	SpaceX SPCX Nasdaq debut at $135/share — $1.77T ma	7.8×	94
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?	2026-06-14	Trump birthday — Greenland watch date. TSM three-d	6.2×	102
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?	2026-06-09	TSMC senior executive signals potential price incr	5.6×	11
Will the US take control of any part of Canada?	2026-05-21	Iran escalates Strait of Hormuz control claims wit	4.0×	23
Bab el-Mandeb closure by Sep 30 POLYMARKET THREE-CHOKEPOINT DAY ★ FIRST CONNECTED HERE	2026-05-27	Oman threat + OXY Sep $55 put block + Hormuz-by-June-15 Polymarket — all same day	+$950K	↑41%

Live Truth Social Prediction Markets

Kalshi runs daily markets on specific words or phrases Trump will post to Truth Social. Anyone with advance knowledge of the post can bet on the outcome minutes before it publishes — the same structural pattern as the $920M oil futures spike documented in the Blood Money series. Active contracts shown below.

TRUMPSAYCOMPANY (May 1) TRUMPSAYCOMPANY (May 1)

Truth Social — Financially Relevant Posts

Trump posts scored for financial keywords (tariff, china, iran, bitcoin, oil, deal...). Red score ≥ 8 = high-signal. PRE-EVENT badge = post timestamp falls same day as a Kalshi or Polymarket volume spike.

2026-07-22 12:56 UTCscore 1749,914 favsPRE-EVENT

From this point forward, any time the Islamic Republic of Iran shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz, whether it be by Missile, Rocket, Drone, or any other device or weapon, the United States will

KXTRUMPSAY: iran · OIL: iran, hormuz, strait, war, bomb

2026-07-23 11:52 UTCscore 159,907 favsPRE-EVENT

The Civil Nuclear Deal (There will be no enrichment of material!) being made between the United States Department of Energy and Saudi Arabia, which pertains only to non-military use such as the ones t

KXTRUMPSAY: iran, energy, deal · OIL: iran, military, energy

2026-07-20 22:18 UTCscore 1420,054 favsPRE-EVENT

I had a very good conversation with the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, Andy Burnham. We discussed many subjects, including the outstanding relationship we have had with the UK. We will be m

KXTRUMPSAY: oil · OIL: hormuz, strait, oil, military

2026-07-19 11:54 UTCscore 1236,975 favsPRE-EVENT

Republicans should add Iran to the Russian Sanctions Bill. That’s what Lindsey wanted to do, and it was going to happen. IMPORTANT!!! President DJT

KXTRUMPSAY: iran, sanctions, russia · OIL: iran, sanctions

2026-07-23 12:16 UTCscore 1119,847 favsPRE-EVENT

A year ago the United States of America attacked, very powerfully, the Houthis, for their interference with commerce and trade, by shooting at ships. Since that time, and during our conflict with Iran

KXTRUMPSAY: iran · OIL: iran, military, attack

2026-07-21 19:51 UTCscore 1116,074 favsPRE-EVENT

Afghanistan War: 20 years, 2,000 DEAD. Iraq War: 9 years, 4,600 DEAD. Vietnam War: 19 years and 5 months, 58,220 DEAD. Korean War: 3 years and 1 month, 36,574 DEAD. Venezuela War: 1 day, 0 DEAD. Iran

KXTRUMPSAY: iran · OIL: iran, war, military

2026-07-20 16:41 UTCscore 1142,562 favsPRE-EVENT

Every time Iran kills an American Soldier they will pay for that killing many times over! This directive has been passed on to Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Da

KXTRUMPSAY: iran · OIL: iran, war, military

2026-07-17 19:30 UTCscore 820,944 favsPRE-EVENT

For decades, horrible politicians allowed our Industrial Base to move overseas. Their Trade Policies encouraged Companies to find the cheapest Labor, and build the Products we invented across Asia. Wh

KXTRUMPSAY: tariff, trade deal, chip, deal · OIL: nan

2026-07-20 16:50 UTCscore 728,952 favsPRE-EVENT

Benjamin Netanyahu will not be arrested, in any way, shape, or form, while in the United States of America. He is fighting against the Islamic Republic of Iran, which recently killed 52,000 innocent p

KXTRUMPSAY: iran, deal · OIL: iran

2026-07-20 15:38 UTCscore 621,184 favsPRE-EVENT

Thank you to our Great Speaker, Mike Johnson, the House Budget Chairman, Jodey Arrington, and the members of the House Budget Committee, including Lloyd Smucker, Ron Estes, Andrew Clyde, Josh Brecheen

KXTRUMPSAY: nan · OIL: war, military

2026-07-23 01:40 UTCscore 510,161 favsPRE-EVENT

Exclusive — Cyprus Energy Minister: Trump’s ‘Energy Security’ Engagement ‘Vital’ to Future of West: [link]

KXTRUMPSAY: energy · OIL: energy

2026-07-20 17:56 UTCscore 518,385 favsPRE-EVENT

Great words of wisdom from Highly Respected James Carafano. Thank you James! “Our position in the Region is the strongest that it’s been since the end of World War II. We have been dealing with this

KXTRUMPSAY: deal · OIL: war

2026-07-20 00:34 UTCscore 522,662 favsPRE-EVENT

Wonderful news! I have just been informed that Giant Eagle, a GREAT American Grocery Company, will be lowering Prices, by a lot, across more than 300 products this Summer, through Labor Day, to help h

KXTRUMPSAY: oil · OIL: oil

2026-07-19 14:05 UTCscore 528,204 favsPRE-EVENT

The People of Aberdeen, in Scotland, are dancing in the streets because the new Prime Minister, Andy Burnham, has stated that he will be opening up, all the way, the invaluable North Sea Oil! It is on

KXTRUMPSAY: oil · OIL: oil

2026-07-17 19:24 UTCscore 424,572 favsPRE-EVENT

We are holding Canada responsible for the fact that they are not properly maintaining their Forests, and Brush therein, and the United States is being unnecessarily invaded by filthy, polluted, and un

KXTRUMPSAY: tariff, canada · OIL: nan

2026-07-21 20:44 UTCscore 322,239 favsPRE-EVENT

Thank you to all of the House Republicans who are supporting the first step towards getting as much of THE SAVE AMERICA ACT, as possible, in the Budget Bill, and to our Great Speaker, Mike Johnson. I

KXTRUMPSAY: nan · OIL: war

2026-07-17 19:32 UTCscore 325,483 favsPRE-EVENT

BIG WIN in Court for the American People! The so-called "Digital Equity Act," a Biden DEI law, was ruled exactly what I said it was last year — A RACIST and UNCONSTITUTIONAL giveaway that never should

KXTRUMPSAY: nan · OIL: war

2026-07-21 22:54 UTCscore 218,037 favsPRE-EVENT

Effective August 1st, 2026, all Generic Drugs being brought into the United States will continue to have a TARIFF of ZERO PERCENT for a two year period of time, after which the TARIFF will be raised t

KXTRUMPSAY: tariff · OIL: nan

2026-07-20 00:17 UTCscore 219,719 favsPRE-EVENT

The National Academy of Sciences has historically published analytical Scientific Manuals expressly for our Federal Judiciary. Of course, the Academy has been run by Radical Left Dumocrats who, it tur

KXTRUMPSAY: fed · OIL: nan

2026-07-18 02:01 UTCscore 226,262 favsPRE-EVENT

Newly declassified documents show that over a period of years starting during the 2020 election cycle, the People’s Republic of China carried out what is believed to be the largest compromise of elect

KXTRUMPSAY: china · OIL: nan

Oil, Indices & Metals

WTI, Brent crude, S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Silver. Green = above target. Red = below target. Oil spike before war/ceasefire announcement = direct insider signal.

S&P 500 > $7,420 (12:00)KXINXU-26JUL27H1200-T7419.9999

WTI > 83.99KXWTI-26JUL2714-T83.99

WTI > 88.49KXWTI-26JUL2814-T88.49

WTI > 90.99KXWTI-26JUL2814-T90.99

WTIH > 82.89KXWTIH-26JUL2712-T82.89

WTIH > 83.29KXWTIH-26JUL2712-T83.29

WTIH > 83.49KXWTIH-26JUL2712-T83.49

WTIH > 83.59KXWTIH-26JUL2712-T83.59

WTIH > 84.29KXWTIH-26JUL2713-T84.29

Crypto Price Contracts

Short-duration price prediction contracts actively trading on Kalshi. Purple = long (price above target). Red = short (price below target). Volume spike before a crypto regulatory announcement = policy insider signal.

BTC

BTC 15-minKXBTC15M-26JUL271115-15

Will BTC move higher in the next 15 minutes from this snapshot?

BTC < $64,650KXBTC-26JUL2712-B64650

Will BTC close below this price at settlement?

BTC < $64,875KXBTC-26JUL2717-B64875

Will BTC close below this price at settlement?

BTC Daily > $63,500KXBTCD-26JUL3117-T63499.99